Monday, December 29, 2008

Russia Resurgent Superpower ? Or Smoke and Mirrors

The multiple reports and end-of-year wisdoms of Russia "gaining" strength are greatly overblown. LNR has reported that indeed, Russia has taken a more aggressive stance, but, that "was" backed up by oil at $147 a barrel.

Now, that oil has tumbled tremendously, down to $37-45 per barrel (completely crushing the ridiculous announcements of a global shortage of oil due to unmet demands- there is no current or foreseen oil shortage in the near or medium term future) Russia is bracing for social riots, massive cuts in future military spending and a collapse in their financial and stock markets. Hardly a resurgent superpower- more like the last whimper of a corrupt, self-contained post-communist failure of an economy reliant on oil and natural resource revenues to infuse cash into an otherwise, dead and dying economy. Along with a rapidly declining population, the high oil prices of last year gave another breath to a dying patient- that is all.

For even Putin's adventurism this year amounted to little- a few naval ships visiting Venezuela, some Russian bombers back on air patrols and an easy win against a tiny mouse known as Georgia, it hardly amounts to anything near a resurgent strategic posture. Russia did not roll back NATO moving ever closer to the Motherland, nor stopping the planned and ongoing anti-missile defense system being set up in Eastern Europe, nor stopping American dominance in the Middle East, it was still an overall clear victory for NATO and America, not Russia.

Russia "gaining power" is all smoke and mirrors.

俄国复活的超级大国? 或者用虚假消息骗人 俄国"倍数报告和年底wisdoms; gaining" 力量很大地是过分的。 LNR的确报告了那,俄国采取了更加积极的姿态,但是, " was" 支持由油在$147每桶。 现在,那油巨大地翻滚了,下来到$37-45每桶(完全地击碎油全球性短缺的可笑公告由于为满足的要求没有潮流或预见的油短缺在近或中期未来)俄国为社会暴乱支撑,巨型在他们的财政和股市上削减未来军费和崩溃。 坚硬一个复活的超级大国更象经济的腐败,独立性的共产主义之后疏忽的最后抽泣倚赖于油和自然资源收支否则灌输现金入,死去和垂死的经济。 与迅速地人口下降一起,去年的高油价给了另一呼吸是全部的一名死的患者。 为甚而Putin' s冒险主义今年共计一点访问委内瑞拉,一些俄国轰炸机的一些艘军舰在空中巡逻,并且反对叫作佐治亚的一只微小的老鼠的一次容易的胜利,它几乎不共计任何东西在一个复活的战略姿势附近。 俄国没有滚动移动离祖国较近,亦不停止计划的和持续的反导弹防御系统的北约被设定在东欧,亦不停止美国优势在中东,它仍然是北约和美国的,不是俄国一次整体清楚的胜利。 俄国" 获取power" 是所有用虚假消息骗人。

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